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Poll: Bevin Leads Beshear in 2019 Governor's Race

Governor Matt Bevin (R) leads Attorney General Andy Beshear (D) in the 2019 race for Kentucky governor.

Gravis Marketing issued the results of its recent poll of 741 Kentucky voters on June 11 and 12. The firm stated that it paid for the poll itself and that the poll was not commissioned by any campaign or organization.

The results showed Bevin with a 48 to 42 lead overall.

The results are tighter or different among college-educated voters, in which Bevin leads 51-49 among those with bachelor's degrees, and in which Beshear leads 55-32 among voters with a post-graduate education.

Bevin leads 53-32 among voters with just a high school diploma and 51-40 among voters with "some college" education.

38 percent of respondents hold bachelor's degrees or higher compared to 62 percent without.

Beshear leads 47-40 among women while Bevin leads 57-37 among men.

The poll also revealed that Democrats could lose the attorney general's race for the first time since the 1940s. Beshear narrowly won election to this post in 2015. Democrat Greg Stumbo, a former Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives who lost his seat in 2016, trails Republican and former University of Louisville football player Daniel Cameron, 47-36.

Stumbo previously served as attorney general from 2004 to 2008.

Gravis Marketing also tested some 2020 matchups. Senator Mitch McConnell (R) leads former Lexington Mayor and 2016 Democratic Senate nominee Jim Gray (D) 49-41. 

President Donald Trump leads all Democratic challengers.

Trump, a Republican elected in 2016, who won Kentucky with 63 percent of the vote, leads former Vice President Joe Biden, 57-37, and Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, 57-35 and 60-28, respectively. Trump also leads South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, 60-28.

Democratic Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi has 30 percent approval from Kentucky voters, according to the poll, which also found 62 percent disapproval.

The poll has a margin of error of 3.6 percent.

-Staff report

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